Evaluating the Impact of Demographic Transition in the Context of the Tokai-Tonankai-Nankai Earthquake, Japan

概要

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This study intends to adopt a geographical approach to building a region-type index associated with recovery, which aims to examine the impact of ongoing demographic transition in the context of the expected the Tokai-Tonankai-Nankai Earthquake. A great amount of population census data is applied in building the index that comprises 3 demographic transition patterns that represent the various degrees of regional self-sufficiency in a disaster. Applying the index to the population census data of 2005, with the anticipated seismicity in 4 appointed scenarios via GIS mapping, a place assessment is presented to examine the impact of a possible population demographic transition order issued in pre-disaster recovery planning.
日本自然災害学会の論文