Impacts of CO2 Emission Limitation on Energy Industry
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概要
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The Tronto Conference in June 1988 appealed to wealthy countries to cut their CO2 emissions by 20% by the year 2005. The intergovernmental panel on climate change (IPCC) proposed scenarios as response strategies in the report which published in August 1990. The government of Japan revised national energy plan which included CO2 emission control stratagies in June 1990 and established a action program for the greenhouse effect gas emission limitation in October 1990. This study examines responses for these issues by assessing the impacts of the CO2 emission limitations on energy economics and energy industries. Its principal findings are as follows.1 CO2 emission level in the goal:CO2 emission levels in the goals of the limitation global climatic warming strategies/measures are follows; In the Tronto Conference Appeal CO2 emission level in 2005 in the non-limitation case will be 1.7 times higher than the goal. In the IPCC report it be 1.1 times higher than it in its reference scenario. In the Action Program of Japan it will be 1.6 times higher than the goal.2 CO2 emission reduction:The Tronto conference's appeal requestes CO2 emission reduction at an annual rate of -1.0%. In the referense scenario of "response strategy working group" in the IPCC CO2 emissions increases at annual rate of 2.2%. In the action program of Japan CO2 emissions are reduced at annual rate of 0%.3 The change in the energy mix is so drastic that it is not realistic from the energy economics stanndpoint.4 Energy resource problems in terms of the reserves, production and prices are expected to emerge.5 The possibility of effective energy use holds the key for CO2 emission limitation.
- 産業学会の論文
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