Inter-Regional Travel Demand Analysis Using Integrated Model For Practical Travel Demand Forecast
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概要
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This paper presents a latest inter-urban travel demand model for Japan. It intends the travel demand analysis for private business planning rather than government-based transportation planning. Cross-sectional data from the 2005 Interregional Travel Survey, Japan, is used for the model estimations. The model consists of three sub-models: a trip modal choice sub-model, trip distribution sub-model, and tip generation/attraction sub-model. The trip modal choice sub-model is a nested logit model including an upper tree choice of automobile and public transportation and a lower tree choice of rail, bus, and air transportation; the trip distribution sub-model is an aggregated logit model; and the trip generation/attraction sub-model is a log-linear regression model. The models are verified by comparing the estimated results with the observed data. The proposed model successfully reproduces the current travel demand.
著者
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SHIMIZU Tetsuo
Department of Civil Engineering The University of Tokyo
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KATO Hironori
Graduate School of Engineering University of Tokyo
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TANABE Katsumi
Faculty of Business and Commerce Keio University
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ENDO Kotaro
Social & Public Solution Department LITEC, Co.
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KURITA Zenkichi
Center for Survey and Research Institute for Transport Economics Japan
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KANEKO Yuichiro
Department of Civil Engineering Nihon University
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KATO Kazusei
College of Economics Nihon University
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