A MICRO-SIMULATION MODEL OF METROPOLITAN FLOOR MARKET REPRESENTING MISMATCH BETWEEN BUILDING STOCK AND NEW URBAN ACTIVITY GENERATION

概要

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There is disequilibrium between supply and demand, since a building stock has high irreversibility, while a locator is comparatively easy to move. However, the process of floor disequilibrium generation is not yet sufficiently clarified. The aim of this study is to develop a lot-based land-use micro-simulation model, which can represent disequilibrium between floor supply and activity's demand. A lot-based building distribution is represented as a result of annual lot merging, building demolition, and building construction, and activity's location is described by a disaggregate logit model based on floor utilities. Floor disequilibrium is represented as a difference of their distribution. After the basic structure of the model, detailed model equations are described, and the outline of the analysis system for detailed land-use micro-simulation based on GIS is shown. For the purpose of empirical study the detailed lot-based database is developed in Sendai city, Japan.
Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studiesの論文