Vulnerability Assessment of Forest Ecosystem to Climate Change in Korea Using MC1 Model(<Special Issue>Multipurpose Forest Management)

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概要

• 論文の詳細を見る

• The objective of this study was to assess the vulnerability of forest ecosystem to climate change in Korea using MAPSS-CENTURY (MC1) model, one of Dynamic Global Vegetation Models (DGVMs). Also, it was to suggest selected and concentrated adaptation strategies for local government on the basis of this assessment. For the MC1 simulation of past years (1971-2000), the climatic data was prepared by the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). In addition, for the future simulation, the Fifth-Generation NCAR/Penn State Mesoscale Model (MM5) coupling with atmosphere-ocean circulation model (ECHO-G) provided the future climatic data under the SRES (Special Report on Emission Scenario of IPCC) A1B scenarios. This study predicted the changes in vegetation distribution by climate change, and it analyzed the spatial and temporal variation of the Net Primary Production (NPP) and Soil Carbon Storage (SCS) using the MC1 model simulations. The vulnerability assessment of forest ecosystem can be divided into two categories; 1) the vulnerability of vegetation distribution and 2) the vulnerability of forest ecosystem function, such as the NPP and SCS. In addition, the sensitivity and adaption capacity were evaluated for each category. As results of the vulnerability assessment, relatively vulnerable areas were situated in the western coastal part and south eastern inland of Korea. Based on the spatial variation in vulnerability, we could suggest that the central and local governments need to prepare concentrated adaptation strategies for climate change based on the vulnerability assessment.

• 森林計画学会の論文

著者

• Park Sunmin

  Department Of Food And Nutrition College Of Natural Science Hoseo University

• Choi Hyun-ah

  Department Of Climatic Environment Graduate School Of Life And Environmental Science Korea Universit

• Lee Woo-Kyun

  Department of Climatic Environment, Graduate School of Life and Environmental Science, Korea Univers

• Lim Jong-hwan

  Korea Forest Research Institute

• Kwak Hanbin

  Department Of Environmental Science And Ecological Engineering Korea University

• Kim So-ra

  Department Of Environmental Science And Ecological Engineering Korea University

• Choi Sungho

  Department of Environmental Science and Ecological Engineering, Korea University

• Yoo Seongjin

  Department of Environmental Science and Ecological Engineering, Korea University

• Lee Woo-kyun

  Department Of Environmental Science And Ecological Engineering Korea University

• Park Sunmin

  Department Of Climatic Environment Graduate School Of Life And Environmental Science Korea Universit

• Choi Sungho

  Department Of Environmental Science And Ecological Engineering Korea University

• Yoo Seongjin

  Department Of Environmental Science And Ecological Engineering Korea University

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