Should Indonesia Suffer from More Reduction of the Subsidy to the Petroleum Sector?
スポンサーリンク
概要
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We numerically examine the impact of the actually implemented reduction policy of the subsidy to the petroleum sector by using a static CGE model with the latest input-output table of Indonesia of year 2008. Our simulation results indicate that the Indonesian economy suffered from the actually implemented policy with a welfare loss of 28,417.78 billion rupiah even with the conversion policy. Furthermore, the proposed future reduction policy by the Ministry of Finance would unavoidably result in a welfare loss even when the government continues the current conversion policy. However, our simulation results also suggest that a new future conversion policy with a slightly additional subsidy to the LPG sector would eventuate in completely offsetting the negative effect of the proposed plan on the future welfare with an expanding government expenditure.
- 2011-12-08
著者
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Kato Ryuta
Graduate School Of International Relations International University Of Japan
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Budiyono Agus
Ministry Of Internal Affairs Of Indonesia
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