経済発展と災害 : Uカーブ現象の理論的考察

概要

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This paper attemps to establish an economic model that explains the relationship between disasters and economic development. Historical data shows a tendency in which the economic development decreases the annual average damages of disasters in the early stage of development, but increases in the later stage. We call this tendency as U-curve phenomena and it was theoretically proven in mis paper, by introducing the concept of mitigation elasticity of income. The primary conclusion is that the U-cureve phenomena implies that the strategy for disaster reduction should be asymmetric between the early and the last stage of the development.
地域安全学会の論文