51. 避難阻害要因の確率分布を考慮した避難モデル(VIII. 被害予測と緊急対応その4,第VIIIセッション,第8回(平成10年度)地域安全学会研究発表会)

概要

論文の詳細を見る
Regarding evacuation activities of residence in emergencies such as some large earthquakes or others, it is necessary to consider many kinds of hindrance factors such as spreads of fire, road destractions, traffic jams between evacuating groups, and so on. It is general to use predicted values to fill these factors, however, these values have originally more or less uncertainties. Consequently, it can be appropriate to assume some probabilistic distributions. In this study, some investigations were made on the evacuation model including such indefinite elements. Furthermore, some considerations were made on the introduction of psychological factors.
地域安全学会の論文